Curated news and research on physical climate risk, with a focus on tropical cyclone, severe convective storm, and flood perils relevant to (re)insurance — sourced from scientific journals, catastrophe-risk vendors, and reinsurer publications. See CONTENT-GUIDE.md for how this feed is curated and how it will later feed a subscriber newsletter.
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Berkshire Hathaway, the American multinational conglomerate holding company, reported that its recently entered into whole account quota share reinsurance agreement with Tokio Marine boosted premium volumes in the second-quarter, which otherwise would have fallen primarily due to lower property unde
Read source →Cytora, a UK insurance technology company that develops digital risk processing software for insurers, brokers and managing general agents (MGAs), has entered into a strategic partnership with Octave Specialty Group, a specialty insurance platform that invests in, acquires and grows MGAs. As part of
Read source →HCI Group, Inc., a Tampa-based insurance holding company, has reported net income of $83 million in the second quarter of 2026, up 18.6% from $70 million in the same period a year earlier. In the quarter, the company posted pre-tax income of $111 million, up 18% from $94 million in Q2’25. Net income
Read source →Amwins Global Risks, the specialist wholesale insurance broking business of Amwins, has expanded its specialist natural catastrophe facility for renewable energy projects, increasing available capacity to USD $50 million per placement while extending both the range of covered perils and its global a
Read source →Octave Specialty Group, a US-listed global specialty insurance company operating across insurance distribution and specialty property and casualty insurance, reported improved second-quarter 2026 results, supported by stronger underwriting performance at its Everspan insurance business and continued
Read source →ALIRT Insurance Research, a US insurance research and analytics firm focused on the property and casualty sector, has released a new report highlighting widening differences in the performance of residual property insurance markets across California, Florida, Louisiana, and Texas. The company says t
Read source →Munich Re, the reinsurance giant, said that it systematically opted not to renew certain business at the mid-year renewals particularly in property excess-of-loss, but the company forecasts favourable prices, as well as terms and conditions, can be “largely upheld” at the next significant renewal ro
Read source →Speaking this morning during an earnings call, Munich Re’s CFO Andrew Buchanan gave the clearest explanation for why the global reinsurance company has reduced its retrocessional protection considerably, saying the company puts the effort into underwriting so it can keep the risk and has the financi
Read source →The Colombian government has contracted five parametric agricultural insurance policies to provide smallholder farmers with coverage against drought and excess rainfall, utilising a solution developed by the Insurance Development Forum (IDF), UNDP, and Germany’s BMZ via the InsuResilience Solutions
Read source →Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has now lowered its forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season at an update today, citing “conditions in the sub-tropical Atlantic looking less favourable than as appeared to be a month ago.” Recall that, in its April forecast, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) lowered its pre
Read source →A new report from analysts at J.P. Morgan has suggested that while the catastrophe bond market has witnessed exceptional growth in 2026, insurance-linked securities (ILS) and alternative capital are looking more disciplined, exhibiting few of the undisciplined behaviours witnessed in the last soft m
Read source →Twelve Securis is combining its catastrophe bond and private ILS focused investment teams, to consolidate and optimise its approach to managing dedicated strategies and blended portfolios, while at the same time the firm also stated that long-standing senior employee Etienne Schwartz is departing th
Read source →Storm surge dynamics in the northern Adriatic Sea: comparing AI emulators with high-resolution numerical simulations Rodrigo Campos-Caba, Paula Camus, Andrea Mazzino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Massimo Tondello, Ivan Federico, Salvatore Causio, and Lorenzo Mentaschi Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3683
Read source →Drivers of flash flood frequency and intensity in the United States: a quantitative analysis of hydrometeorological interactions Ying Hu, Huan Wu, Yiwen Mei, Zhijun Huang, Aihui Wang, Chaoqun Li, and Bing Sui Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3667–3682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3667-2026, 2
Read source →SPIN (v1.0): A spontaneous synthetic tropical cyclone model empowered by NeuralGCM for hazard assessment Yurong Gao and Dazhi Xi Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 7303–7323, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-7303-2026, 2026 Artificial intelligence offers a new way to assess tropical cyclone hazards. We developed
Read source →Heatwaves are becoming more likely and more intense due to climate change, impacting sources of power generation around the world… The post Factcheck: How nuclear, gas, wind and solar power are affected during heatwaves appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Read source →New classes of climate model emulators to improve paleoclimate reconstructions Auguste Gaudin and Myriam Khodri Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 7135–7167, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-7135-2026, 2026 Reconstructing past climate variability requires computationally efficient models able to capture the beha
Read source →Drought propagation and ecosystem resilience in a peri-urban catchment of Berlin-Brandenburg Polina Franke, Aryan Goswami, and Márk Somogyvári Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3617–3635, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3617-2026, 2026 Droughts are intensifying due to climate change, impacting wat
Read source →Precipitation nowcasting based on convolutional LSTM with spatio-temporal information transformation using multi-meteorological factors Dufu Liu, Feihu Huang, Peng Zheng, Xiaomeng Huang, Xi Wu, Xia Yuan, Jiafeng Zheng, Xiaojie Li, and Jing Hu Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 7089–7110, https://doi.org/10.519
Read source →Impact of warming on rainfall changes in damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution convection-permitting models Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3579–3595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3579-2026, 2026 High-resolu
Read source →In recent days, prominent climate sceptics and rightwing commentators have shared charts on social media incorrectly implying that Europe is… The post Factcheck: No, Europe is not having its ‘quietest’ year for wildfires appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Read source →GEE-DisALEXI: cloud-based implementation of the DisALEXI model for evapotranspiration monitoring using Google Earth Engine Yun Yang, Martha Anderson, Charles Morton, Yanghui Kang, Feng Gao, Weina Duan, Hui Liu, John Volk, and Christopher Hain Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 6967–6989, https://doi.org/10.519
Read source →Spectral nudging impacts on precipitation downscaling in the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model, version CCAM-2504: insights from summer 2011 Son C. H. Truong, Marcus J. Thatcher, Phuong Loan Nguyen, Lisa V. Alexander, and John L. McGregor Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 6991–7011, https://doi.org/10.5194/gm
Read source →RIME-X v1.0: combining simple climate models, Earth system models, and climate impact models into a unified statistical emulator for regional climate indicators Niklas Schwind, Mahé Perrette, Edward Byers, Annika Högner, Quentin Lejeune, Tessa Möller, Zebedee Nicholls, Peter Pfleiderer, Sarah Schöng
Read source →Dynamic and thermal analysis of dust storm processes based on vertical observation data Yifei Wang, Wen Huo, Yongqiang Liu, Mayibaier Maihamuti, Fan Yang, Chenglong Zhou, Xinghua Yang, and Ali Mamtimin Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3523–3539, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3523-2026, 2026 Dus
Read source →This summer has seen Europe suffer through a series of record-breaking heatwaves. Amid widespread media coverage of the number of… The post Factcheck: No, Europe’s heatwaves are not being ‘caused’ by declining air pollution appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Read source →Use of nonlinear principal components of CHIRPS precipitation data and ocean–atmospheric variables for streamflow forecasting in an area of scarce data – case study: Tocaría river basin – Orinoquia Colombiana Jhon Derly Sarria-Ospina, Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Lina Maria Ceron-Aramburo, Teresita Canc
Read source →Amplification of ENSO-driven vegetation variability at decadal and longer timescales Nora L. S. Fahrenbach and Robert C. J. Wills Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 987–1006, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-987-2026, 2026 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) drives short-term global plant changes, but its in
Read source →A multivariate analysis of atmospheric drivers for Western European heatwaves Aytaç Paçal, Birgit Hassler, Katja Weigel, Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Veronika Eyring Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 955–986, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-955-2026, 2026 Heatwaves are among the deadl
Read source →Strong intensification of extreme fire weather in Europe under 3 °C compared to 2 °C global warming A. Serkan Bayar, Joaquim G. Pinto, Célia M. Gouveia, and Alexandre M. Ramos Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 929–954, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-929-2026, 2026 Europe is warming faster than the global aver
Read source →Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth's energy imbalance Kyriaki Bimpiri, Thomas Hocking, and Thorsten Mauritsen Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 877–892, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026, 2026 Observations show an increasing imbalance between how much e
Read source →Overshoot and (ir)reversibility to 2300 in two CO2-emissions driven Earth System models Chris Smith, Lennart Ramme, Christopher D. Wells, Ada Gjermundsen, Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Timothée Bourgeois, Jörg Schwinger, Alejandro Romero-Prieto, Chao Li, and Cecilie Mauritzen Eart
Read source →Regional impacts of irrigation on the atmospheric and terrestrial water cycle of the Iberian Peninsula in a climate model Pierre Tiengou, Agnès Ducharne, and Frédérique Cheruy Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 843–876, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-843-2026, 2026 This study analyses simulations of regional c
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